thesis: the next wave of top prediction-market dapps will be chain-driven.
> kalshi partnering with pyth is a big signal. they’re not just building regulated event markets anymore, they’re laying groundwork for on-chain compatibility.
> abstract is shaping up as the consumer L2: myriad already gaining speed and cementing its reputation.
> base has limitless, proving how far distribution + UX can go. coinbase’s reach also gives base real mainstream potential. however BRKT will be getting up there pretty soon.
> hyperliquid still early, but opinionslabs is the standout and with HIP-3 live, expect a flood of new builds.
> solana has not much going on rn. surprisingly, the only prediction market on solana that went insane during elections doing over $30M+ in volume was predictdotfun, and it’s now nowhere to be found.
tons of potential on solana: low-latency, composable infra, and projects like drift’s event contracts + predictverse experimenting but no clear winner yet.
> avalanche, sui, etc.. less PM native, but i believe the infra will catch up.
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